We are coming down to the wire. There is still time for a surprise or two. Gallup? Rasmussen? ABC-Washington Post- NYT -CBS … They’re all over the map. But come on, you know you have an opinion. Time to show your cards:
Tag Archives: romney campaign
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Apparently there is a bar near Hofstra called the Dizzy Lizard. They aren’t answering their cell phones. I expected this of Bob. In fact, I thought Bob might accidentally go to Detroit to watch the Yankees. But Jack? Not sure how he’s going to spin this.
Jack pushed open the door of the bar and squinted into the dark until he saw Bob. “Why aren’t you at the Old Ebbitt? I’ve been to half the bars in town looking for you. Are you coming over to Evan’s tonight to watch the debate?”
Bob watched him approach. “The debate? What about the game?”
“We have that covered. Two TVs. Side by side.”
“Can I have the remotes?”
“No. And, Evan said not negotiable.”
Bob nodded thoughtfully.”I guess we know who will win anyway, since it’s all in Spin Doctor.”
Jack dragged a bar stool into position and sat next to Bob. “By the way, I have to hand it to you. You nailed it. Watching with the sound off may be one of your best ideas yet.”
Bob shrugged. “You seem surprised.”
“I thought you were just looking for an excuse to hang out in a bar.”
“Right. Like I need an excuse.”
“Okay, smart guy. What about the VP debate?”
“You tell me. You’re the Spin Doctor, after all.”
“I think we go with the sound off again” Jack waved at the bartender and ordered a Bass Aie.
Bob nodded. “But not because of the visuals. It is possible that listening to this debate, without proper medication, could induce drowsiness.”
“So you don’t think Biden will implode?”
Bob shook his head. “Biden is over rated as an entertainment. He knows how to woo an audience, that’s all. Sometimes he gets caught by another audience that thought he loved them more.”
“What are you talking about? He’s married.”
“Funny. Ha ha. You know what I mean. He can talk to the Economic Club of Chicago and the Brotherhood of Baggage Handlers and they both will think he’s their guy. Then, they see the news and find out he has a multiple personality disorder.”
The bartender slid the bottle of beer in front of Jack, no glass, and another drink in front of Bob.
Bob went on:“No. Think. Tonight the audience is everybody. Tonight he will be buttoned down and buttoned up. No gaffes, no shooting from the lip. Just get out of the debate alive with no headlines. He can’t move the needle so–just don’t blow it.”
Jack blinked at him. “No. I don’t think so. He has absolutely nothing to lose tonight. He’ll swing for the fences. Hold up Big Bird’s lifeless body. He is going to go for the jugular, be the defender of the President. Even if he goes over the line, he’s not going to lose votes. But, he might energize the base. Right now, the air is coming out of the base. Turnout will be everything.”
“So what are you saying? You have too many metaphors. I can’t follow.”
“Abortion. The women have fled the ticket. This is no time for sweet talk. Immigration, another base issue. And then, a blend of economics aimed at black voters.”
Bob’s pinkish eyes widened. “The race card?”
“Not saying they will play it. But they might accidentally drop it on the table then quickly pick it up.”
Bob stirred the ice cubes in his glass with the bar straw.
“What do you think?”
“Does Evan have any Glen Fiddich or should I bring my own?”
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A spate of articles report that some pundits think Obama fizzled at the Convention. According to Politico, before the Obamas left the stage, James Carville tweeted : “Certainly not the best speech of this convention.” WaPo’s Dana Milbank’s headline: “Obama the Demigod Comes Down to Earth.”
Are the Clintonistas shuffling toward the exits? Or bolting? Do I detect the notes of a carefully spun narrative, whispered into a few eager but discreet media ears? Now wafting out into the media airwaves, with no fingerprints and no smoking gun? A muffled clinking of the Clinton train as it is unhitched from the Obama engine? . .
Not saying they want Romney to win, do they?
What do you think? Vote in my poll, or leave me a comment.
Heading into the stiff winds of the Democratic Convention, does the Romney campaign start the week with a bump? What’s the final answer?
Rasmussen has Romney gaining 6 percentage points overall, which is average, according to Gallup. He started the week at 42%. The latest head to head is Romney 48% to Obama 44%.
The Gallup daily tracking poll does not show a bump at this point. But keep in mind, the Gallup poll is a 7-day rolling average vs the 3 day moving average of the Rasmussen poll. In other words, the Gallup poll would include responses that were taken BEFORE the convention. So we will need to wait a few more days to see if there is an impact among registered voters, a broader measure than the Rasmussen “likely voters.”
So now does the same thing happen for the President? Will Obama get a bump this week? Please vote in my poll and let me know what you think!
Jack and Bob have surfaced at the bar atop the Washington Hotel. Normally, they would lean on the bar, but tonight there is a storm rolling in from the west, and the sky behind the White House is dark gray. The wind had picked up, and most of the tourists have gone for shelter. So it is quiet and we should be able to eavesdrop from the next table:
Jack: “I can’t believe you predicted Romney’s VP choice three days before he released it. Did you have inside info or were you just kidding around?”
Bob took a sip and frowned. “I always have inside info. That’s why you’re friends with me, isn’t it? But didn’t you read what I said? It was obvious.”
Jack: “Really. Then what happens next? Please predict the final election results.”
Bob: “Funny. Give me a few more days, okay?”
Jack: “What did you think of the VP pick?”
Bob: “Not bad, I’d say.”
Jack: “Not bad? Ten million dollars since the announcement.”
Bob: “That’s what I mean. What did you think? You’re the spin doctor. How was the spin? How did they do?”
Jack: “As I said in my earlier memo–which, by the way, was spot on–nice of you to mention–It isn’t about the person, you know. That’s not the story.”
Bob: (shrugs, shakes head, refuses to ask, “so what is the story, Jack?”)
Jack: “The Obama campaign failed the physics exam.”
Jack: “Yeah. You know, for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction. VP announcement then major arms treaty, visit the troops. New Free trade zone. Where’s the news? I read on Monday that a big chunk of money would go to the drought in the Midwest. That’s a start. But then, nothing.”
Bob: “Come on. There’s no news this time of year. Dog days of August.”
Jack: “Okay. Pay attention. Even I could figure out roughly when the VP announcement would be. I said it would be Monday or Tuesday. But they were smarter because they jumped it to Saturday. They knew it would reverberate all weekend and possibly take the Obama campaign by surprise.”
As Bob picked up his glass a gust of wind blew his napkin off the table. He made a grab for it and hit the railing: “Was that thunder?”
Jack went on: “But then I thought surely the Obama campaign would be ready for the announcement. They would flood the week with news and steal the moment. Bury them on Monday and the rest of the week with news, events, creativity. Take the momentum away from Romney and make news that only an incumbent can make.”
Bob: “No kidding? When did they do all that? I’ve been out of town.”
Jack: “Exactly. It makes you wonder. Somebody dropped the ball. I wonder if they ‘re hiring Have you heard anything?”
Another gust of wind scattered the bar napkins and swizzle sticks across the floor of the bar. A lightning flash streaked the sky and sheets of rain splattered the edge of the table. Bob drained his glass.
Jack: “I’ll get the check.”